BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 33 Overall: (5-3) Overall Strength =  140.89
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (2-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-2)
                                                                                       pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L     151.54   3  35   1A  13 (6-2) Oklahoma               10.27 *  -15.98  -42.27                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 133.28  41  13   1B 124 (4-5) Morehead St            -7.99 *   16.12   35.99                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    W   * 140.07  42  30   1B  89 (3-5) Eastern Illinois       -1.20     10.47   13.20                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W   * 127.69  38  36   1B  81 (2-6) North Alabama         -13.59      6.15   15.59                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    L * * 152.35  16  33   1B   1 (8-0) North Dakota St        11.08    -36.06  -28.08                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 137.18  46  32   1B 103 (0-8) Murray St              -4.09     15.09   18.09                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    L * * 138.71  35  40   1B  20 (5-3) Youngstown St          -2.56    -11.39   -2.44                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 149.35  21  13   1B  30 (5-4) South Dakota            8.07     -7.47   -0.07                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home      * *                  1B  54 (2-6) Northern Iowa                             8.72            
10 11/08/2025 Away      * *                  1B  65 (2-6) Indiana St                                7.03            
11 11/15/2025 Away      * *                  1B   7 (7-1) South Dakota St                         -17.31            
12 11/22/2025 Home      * *                  1B  10 (5-3) Southern Illinois                        -8.39            
      Averages             141.27  30.2 29.0

Best game:  152.35 = 17 point loss to North Dakota St
Worst game: 127.69 = 2 point win over North Alabama
Team stdev:   9.00