BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 6 Overall: (12-5) Overall Strength = 144.81
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (12-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 143.68 3 35 1A 15 (10- 3) Oklahoma -0.02 * -15.98 -31.98
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 127.02 41 13 1B 123 ( 6- 6) Morehead St -16.68 * 16.12 44.68
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 130.99 42 30 1B 88 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois -12.71 10.47 24.71
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 121.05 38 36 1B 65 ( 2-10) North Alabama -22.65 6.15 24.65
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 142.44 16 33 1B 1 (12- 1) North Dakota St -1.26 -36.05 -15.74
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 134.70 46 32 1B 83 ( 1-11) Murray St -9.00 15.08 23.00
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 133.94 35 40 1B 12 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St -9.76 -11.40 4.76
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 148.94 21 13 1B 18 (10- 5) South Dakota 5.24 -7.43 2.76
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 140.81 31 16 1B 43 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa -2.89 8.72 17.89
10 11/08/2025 Away W * * 156.96 52 20 1B 63 ( 3- 9) Indiana St 13.26 3.13 18.74
11 11/15/2025 Away W * * 159.87 35 21 1B 7 ( 9- 5) South Dakota St 16.17 -7.10 -2.17
12 11/22/2025 Home L * * 111.14 7 37 1B 8 ( 7- 5) Southern Illinois -32.56 1.66 2.56
13 11/29/2025 Away W * 158.67 21 3 1B 22 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana 14.97 -4.68 3.03
14 12/06/2025 Away W * * 164.34 29 28 1B 1 (12- 1) North Dakota St 20.64 -25.84 -19.64
15 12/13/2025 Away W * 153.84 42 31 1B 9 ( 9- 4) UC-Davis 10.13 -4.36 0.87
16 12/20/2025 Away W * 158.12 30 14 1B 11 (12- 3) Villanova 14.42 -1.64 1.58
17 01/05/2026 Neutral L * 156.42 34 35 1B 2 (14- 2) Montana St 12.71 -13.47 -13.71
Averages 143.70 30.8 25.7
Best game: 164.34 = 1 point win over North Dakota St
Worst game: 111.14 = 30 point loss to Southern Illinois
Team stdev: 15.38