BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Overall: (10-4) Overall Strength =  142.45
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (10-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L     145.30   3  35   1A  12 (10- 2) Oklahoma                3.71 *  -15.98  -35.71                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 127.50  41  13   1B 123 ( 6- 6) Morehead St           -14.09 *   16.12   42.09                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    W   * 131.38  42  30   1B  90 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois      -10.21     10.47   22.21                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W   * 121.91  38  36   1B  65 ( 2-10) North Alabama         -19.68      6.15   21.68                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    L * * 142.59  16  33   1B   1 (12- 1) North Dakota St         1.01    -36.06  -18.01                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 135.05  46  32   1B  83 ( 1-11) Murray St              -6.54     15.09   20.54                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    L * * 134.21  35  40   1B  13 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St          -7.37    -11.43    2.37                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 150.50  21  13   1B  15 (10- 4) South Dakota            8.92     -7.42   -0.92                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    W * * 141.25  31  16   1B  44 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa          -0.33      8.70   15.33                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    W * * 156.99  52  20   1B  64 ( 3- 9) Indiana St             15.41      3.16   16.59                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 160.28  35  21   1B   7 ( 9- 5) South Dakota St        18.69     -7.08   -4.69                      
12 11/22/2025 Home    L * * 111.44   7  37   1B   8 ( 7- 5) Southern Illinois     -30.15      1.64    0.15                      
13 11/29/2025 Away    W   * 159.35  21   3   1B  22 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana           17.77     -4.65    0.23                      
14 12/06/2025 Away    W * * 164.46  29  28   1B   1 (12- 1) North Dakota St        22.87    -25.82  -21.87                      
      Averages             141.59  29.8 25.5

Best game:  164.46 = 1 point win over North Dakota St
Worst game: 111.44 = 30 point loss to Southern Illinois
Team stdev:  15.73