BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 70 Overall: (3-1) Overall Strength = 145.90
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 169.95 3 35 1A 16 (4-0) Oklahoma 15.85 * -15.98 -47.85
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 154.67 41 13 1B 105 (2-2) Morehead St 0.57 * 16.10 27.43
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 152.34 42 30 1B 94 (1-2) Eastern Illinois -1.76 10.47 13.76
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 139.45 38 36 1B 61 (1-3) North Alabama -14.65 6.15 16.65
5 10/04/2025 Home * * 1B 7 (3-0) North Dakota St -29.58
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 88 (0-4) Murray St 4.65
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1B 27 (3-1) Youngstown St -11.99
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1B 21 (2-2) South Dakota -18.55
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1B 57 (2-2) Northern Iowa 0.71
10 11/08/2025 Away * * 1B 38 (2-2) Indiana St -11.05
11 11/15/2025 Away * * 1B 9 (3-0) South Dakota St -29.87
12 11/22/2025 Home * * 1B 8 (3-1) Southern Illinois -25.87
Averages 154.10 31.0 28.5
Best game: 169.95 = 32 point loss to Oklahoma
Worst game: 139.45 = 2 point win over North Alabama
Team stdev: 12.51