BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 43 Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 145.84
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 165.01 3 35 1A 5 (5-0) Oklahoma 15.69 * -15.98 -47.69
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 144.05 41 13 1B 121 (2-4) Morehead St -5.27 * 16.10 33.27
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 150.04 42 30 1B 81 (3-2) Eastern Illinois 0.73 10.47 11.27
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 131.66 38 36 1B 84 (1-4) North Alabama -17.66 6.15 19.66
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 155.83 16 33 1B 3 (5-0) North Dakota St 6.51 -36.02 -23.51
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 105 (0-5) Murray St 15.09
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1B 15 (3-2) Youngstown St -9.62
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1B 22 (3-3) South Dakota -10.26
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1B 64 (2-3) Northern Iowa 7.32
10 11/08/2025 Away * * 1B 46 (2-3) Indiana St -1.18
11 11/15/2025 Away * * 1B 7 (5-0) South Dakota St -26.10
12 11/22/2025 Home * * 1B 9 (4-1) Southern Illinois -17.69
Averages 149.32 28.0 29.4
Best game: 165.01 = 32 point loss to Oklahoma
Worst game: 131.66 = 2 point win over North Alabama
Team stdev: 12.54